Monday, February 26, 2007

This is Why I'm Still Worried...

The new polls came out a few hours ago, and BC got zero votes in the Coaches poll. ZERO! I know just about everyone thinks BC's 10 ACC wins are their ticket to the Big Dance, but I am still not convinced. After all, there were 47 other teams that got votes, and just 34 get at-large bids. So the fact that there is not a single coach among the 31 coaches in the Coaches Poll who thinks BC merits a vote over those other 47 is troubling indeed, especially given this is the final week of the season. I think those woodshed beatings by VTech and Duke on national TV have hurt BC's image more than people realize.

I know I've said it before, but I really think that if BC falls to GTech on Sunday, especially if they are soundly beaten, and then go down in the 1st round of the ACC tourney, they could very well be on the outside looking in. That would mean they lost 5 of 6 to close the season. BC has to beat the Yellow Jackets to lock it up.


bceagle08 said...

dont worry... the polls mean ABSOLUTELY NOTHING... if you look at the numbers there is no way bc can be excluded- top 30 rpi, top 15 sos and 10 wins in the acc (RPI ranked second best conf.) losing 5 of last 6 sounds bad, but only if you aren't paying attention to who those are against (Duke, Carolina, @Vatech, @Gatech) and the committee definitely will look at that. losing the next 2 would obviously be bad but there is no way it could do anything worse than bumping us to the 10 seed range. check out bracketology, lunardi isnt 100% correct but he only gets a few teams wrong every year. right now we are at a 6 seed but he says we would be higher if not for so many other acc teams clustered in the same range... also, check out the resumes for true bubble teams like syracuse and west virginia- there is no comparison.. not trying to say these games aren't important because they are critical for seeding but you dont have to worry about getting knocked out of the field, go eagles!

Angry Eagle said...

I hope you're right. But the last time BC finished with 19 wins and 10-6 in conference with a couple of ugly non-conference losses was 2003, when they went to the NIT. All the pundits then said BC was a lock leading up to Selection Sunday, and then they turned into the consensus bubble team that got jobbed. I'm worried that's where we're heading now if they go down to GTech and in the ACCs.

bceagle08 said...

compare these two teams

Record vs. D1: 18-11 (10-6)
Conf. RPI rank: 4
SOS: 44
RPI: 49

Record vs. D1: 19-9 (10-5)
Conf. RPI rank: 1
SOS: 8
RPI: 25

(2003 vs. 2006)-really dont see a comparison, even if we drop our last two we still have a significantly better resume

Angry Eagle said...

Like I said, I hope you're right. But my concern is premised on BC losing the next two, meaning their RPI drops probably 10-15 spots to 40 or so. And that would mean this year's Eagles would have lost 5 of 6 to close the season, including 1 and done in the tourney, whereas the 2003 edition won 9 of 11 to close the season and won their conference tourney opener. Compound the fade with a clearly weaker team absent Sean Williams, and the analysis is a lot closer.